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irreparable damage to the u.s. economy. >>> and jump t to the top of the ftse 100 after third quarter revenue beat the forecast, burberry had earnings higher than expected. >>> all right. sorted out my mike issues. "worldwide exchange" is slightly different today because we're analyzing the first german gdp numbers. >> and i come to the u.s. where it's all annualized and we stick to the european data and it's quarter on quarter. given the context, we're still working through what all that means. >> exports in november, down 94.1 billion is where we essentially went. 98.4 billion was the october numbers. so exports in november driving down. and that gdp number is worth pulling out. exports for the year, up 4.1%. as far as production is concerned, it was up 2% in november. but the forecast were for it to rise up 1%. it was a very weak october, as well. it was this production and that production number. when that came out, it essentially made people put a pretty fourth quarter in the whole, kelly. what we're trying to do is derive what the annual figure was. >> exactly. and before we get to that
in unemployment, and strength in manufacturing, has the u.s. economy has finally turned a corner? >> susie: and messy earnings news from two giant banks: a big earnings miss from citigroup, and a big earnings drop at bank of america. investors dump the stocks. >> tom: that and more tonight on "n.b.r."! >> susie: hundreds of flights were canceled today and airlines rushed to make back-up plans after regulators around the world grounded boeing's 787 dreamliner. those actions came after the federal aviation association ordered the plane out of the air after two incidents where lithium ion batteries overheated. boeing says it is confident the 787 is safe and says it stands behind the plane's overall integrity. this is only the second time in more than 30 years that regulators have grounded a plane. darren gersh reports. >> reporter: boeing has spent more than $30 billion developing the 787 dreamliner. one reason for the high cost is boeing's decision to upgrade the hydraulics and other mechanical systems with next-generation technology that runs on electricity. >> you've got generators on boar
is the cruise business these gays? given the weak economy, how are bookings? >> you know, we're feeling pretty good. we're filling our ships every single week with consumers that are having a ball and going off the ships and talking to their friends and neighbors and that's what's driving us gluldz you do interact a lot with consumers, what's your take on consumers? are they willing to spend money to go on a vacation or are stay teastill cautious they don't want to splurge on a big trip? >> i think consumers have had a tough run and now they know what their tax situation is of for 2013 based on what happened in washington recently, and the ones work say i have nigh job, interest rates are low. it's not that bad. i want to take my vacation. >> susie: is business strong enough that you're going to add some jobs and what are your hiring plans? >> every time we launch a new ship, it brings on a lot more employees. we're 20,000 strong at this point. and if you think about there are a couple of thousand that come along with each new ship we're building in the future here. >> susie: kevin, thank you
in unemployment and strength in manufacturing, has the u.s. economy has finally turned a corner? >> susie: and messy earnings news from two giant banks: a big earnings miss from citigroup, and a big earnings drop at bank of america. investors dump the stocks. >> tom: that and more tonight on "n.b.r."! >> susie: hundreds of flights were canceled today and airlines rushed to make back-up plans after regulators around the world grounded boeing's 787 dreamliner. those actions came after the federal aviation association ordered the plane out of the air after two incidents where lithium ion batteries overheated. boeing says it is confident the 787 is safe and says it stands behind the plane's overall integrity. this is only the second time in more than 30 years that regulators have grounded a plane. darren gersh reports. >> reporter: boeing has spent more than $30 billion developing the 787 dreamliner. one reason for the high cost is boeing's decision to upgrade the hydraulics and other mechanical systems with next-generation technology that runs on electricity. >> you've got generators on boar
the world. china's economy rebounds into the fourth quarter, beating expectations and snapping seven straight quarters of slow growth. >>> the british government says there's no indication that the hostage crisis is over in algeria as the reports emerge that doesz may have been killed in a rescue operation. >>> investors are unnerved by big spending plans in 2013. plus, glencore pushes back its mega merger by weeks as the regulatory commission begin necessary south africa. >>> welcome to the program. i want to bring you some breaking news in terms of energy prices. the iea is out with its latest 2013 oil report. it expects u.s. oil demand to remain flat on the year. but the headline here does appear that the market, according to the iea language here, is tighter than we thought. all of a sudden, the market looks tighter than we thought. that's the main message we're getting from the organization. it says the world forecast to consume about 90.8 million barrels per day in 2013, up by about a quarter of a million since december. despite seeing the u.s. slight to even negative, seen as
.s. economy energized the stock market today. the dow jumped 85 points, the nasdaq added 18, and the s&p gained eight points. here's what inspired investors to buy stocks: housing starts surged more than 12% last month, hitting the highest level since june 2008. permits for future home construction were also the strongest in more than four years. the upbeat december performance echoes other recent measures on housing. and, there was also good news on the labor front: jobless claims fell last week to the lowest level in five years. >> susie: so is the slow growth environment coming to an end, or is the u.s. economy still stuck in neutral? suzanne pratt reports. >> reporter: ann lenane has sold real estate in up and down markets, what she says about today's market might surprise you. >> the real estate market is hot. it is on fire. >> reporter: her read on real estate market makes sense given that home sales and new construction are recovering from their recent steep declines. and, some economists believe housing will replace manufacturing as a key growth driver this year. beyond the hou
anything at all to you about the global economy or is it just a sign that apple is maybe a little different than it was a few years ago? >> i think that's exactly right. i think it is a more mature growth company instead of a hyper growth company. they still have 120 billion dollars on the balance sheet and growing that by about 40 billion dollars plus a year. the down side should be somewhat muted below $500. connell: don't go crazy says jeff saut on the apple stock price today. you have calmed us all down. good to talk to you. thanks a lot. >> it is a pleasure. dagen: about half -- about 25 minutes away from president obama give or take. it could give or take half hour really, holding his first press conference of the new year. why now? joining us now is an editor at forbes. that's always the critical question, if you're a journalist, it is not who what when where why but why now? what say you? >> i think he's trying to basically beat the republicans to the punch to roll out a lot of platitudes about how both sides need to come together, that he's going to lead this -- them coming togethe
technology in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. ro price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. ♪ >> money is pouring into dell. just in the last hour or so dell shares up 13%. onward pc maker may go private. dell talking to private equity firms. we will get the lowdown from a top analyst coming up in just a few moments. hello, i'm cheryl casone at last hour of trading and the "countdown to the closing bell" begins right now. dell is front and center in the market but also about apple. major supply-chain issues taking place at apple. the stock down nearly 3% trading at $17 down right now, still up $500. apple cutting back on orders from component maker iphone five screens by 50% in the first quarter alone which is usually a risk that demand is not what it was, especially in the developed markets. the iphone five was
to do is have that take place when the republican position on the debt takes the economy hostage. that is off the table. i think the president is smart to be firm and clear on that. next time it would be democrats if we had a republican president. ashley: would you agree, i know it is out of your area, but the senate has not passed a budget in four years now. would you agree with republicans that it is not the way to go and i could, in fact, be breaking the law without i do agree with them. we actually have not passed the budget. i am with them on this concern about our inability to actually do the basic work that a legislature must do. ashley: i know bernanke, timothy geithner, rating agencies and many more states what is the point of a debt ceiling? we routinely raise it anyway. what is the purpose? >> there is no purpose. the debt ceiling has become a device for fiscal irresponsibility. republicans and democrats both dated. senator obama voted against the debt ceiling increase. if we have this credit downgrade, and we had a credit downgrade, as you know, last august. we have t
's stories. the big one, china aes economy rebounding in the final quarter of to 12. growth to 7.9%, up from 7.4% the appreciate quarter. economists do caution, though, that a chinese recovery is likely to be gradual and weak to drive a global rebound without improvement in the u.s. and europe. also, the fate of dozens of hostages in algeria is still unknown. the algerian military stormed a gas field where the workers were being held. six people if not more are believed to have been killed. >>> a team of experts from boeing and the aviation experts are arriving in japan today. today the japan transportation safety board released a picture of the battery. they said the battery was blackened and carbonized, had a bulge in the middle and weighed 11 pounds less than normal. >>> and the interview everybody is talking about, i stayed up late to watch it, lance armstrong telling oprah that he cheated. >> in all seven of your tour de france victories, did you ever take banned substances or blood dope? >> yes. i view the situation as one big lie that i've repeated a lot of times. i'll spend the rest
as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was
and spending cuts which could embroil the economy and stock market in a new round of uncertainty but it kicks that can down the road, so is that why stocks are a bit tempered today? we'll take a look at that. the dow right now up 12 points. we are flirting with those five and a half year highs, 13,610 and change would be that five and a half year high so we're just pleau that right now. the nasdaq down another eight points at the moment at 3127 and technology among the groups suffering today. the s&p, again, here we go again. any positive close for the standard & poor's 500 would be another five and a half year high for the s&p. let's take a closer look at the markets in today's closing bell exchange with our guests. andres, you and i were talking about the markets earlier. what do you think? getting ahead of ourselves with the rallies we've had so far this year. >> earnings matter, and we're in earnings season. to a certain extent we might see some consolidation in the short term. if we look at valuations, still looks attractive or trading 13 times future earnings, 12 months ahead. the avera
is happening over in europe. germany seeing a contraction in their economy. whether or not it is a recession still a little too early to say. as a result of what is happening in europe these stocks are down. gm was down over 4% today, big loss for the car companies because of europe. liz: and two vix etfs, volatility exchange traded funds, hitting new 52-week highs. even though the volatility index continues to tumble. what you see are two where you can make bearish bets on the vix, that would make sense, right? xiv, as you see. we've got them moving higher today. david: the battle over the debt ceiling and paying the bills that d.c. is racking up continues. representative jerry nadler, happens to be my representative, he is looking to stop future fights. he has introduced legislation to end the debt ceiling debate by getting rid of the debt ceiling all together. but would that give too much power to the president? that is the argument. that is the debate. we'll take you and jerry nadler there coming up. liz: germany's central bank pulling some of its gold out of new york and paris. we have
the key message of deep spending cuts, not the message that deep spending cuts will help grow the economy and help create jobs. . . but i did hear no budget, no pay, aimed at democratic senators but then deemed unconstitutional, and an extension of the debt ceiling for about three months which is okay. . it doesn't really go to the heart of the matter. we're going to have a report on this whole story in just a moment. . meanwhile, better news, the stock rally continues up 54 points on the dow, 161 points for the week. get this, a 35% gain in the broad s&p 500. . just since early october 2011. that's right. it's like a stealth rally. it keeps on moving. we'll talk to a leading investment ceo a bit later in the program. . first up, in williamsburg, virginia, today, house republicans have agreed to take up the plan next week to extend the debt ceiling with some conditions. i think that's boring and uninspiring. let's go to the source of this cnbc contributor robert costa. . . i think it's boring, boring, boring. you tell why this is a great. are not attached to this proposal. very three mont
, which we do a great job as the vascular system for the global economy. they build large fluid systems for petrochemical companies, energy companies, as the economy comes in, as industrial production comes back, they're well positioned. so, we're pretty constructive on the asset class, particularly because a lot of people don't seem to be all that constructive on the asset class. >> steve sax, what about you? where are you seeing the flow? what are investors particularly grav stating towards these days? >> it's till equities and all of last year, credential the first couple weeks of this year, more in particular, though, small caps and midcaps. we've started to see them out-perform large caps. that was the story of 2012, with particularly the mega caps. so, if you look at the russell 2000, the mid cap 400 versus say the s&p 500, we've not only seen more flows in those areas, but we're actually seeing the out-performance, which is also a theme i think probably continues, certainly in the first half of this year. fundamentals are really strong in u.s. equities, and that translates well g
the economy, you know, recover as subsequently as well. i think that's what we've been seeing across the region as far as policies are concerned in that they are more responsive and more, i suppose, willing to adapt should be a quick change or shift in consumer sentiment because that will have an impact on growth very quickly in a subsequent month. >> seng wun, australia has had a difficult time determining just where their sector is heading in mining. is it simply now the onus is becoming more clear? >> well, yeah. i think the last six or eight months have given policymakers some degree of confidence in that the picture from europe is stable. the risk is fairly high, there will be more problems ahead, but the determination says policymakers in europe to stay on top of this situation, give confidence to policymaker here and the u.s. is -- and, again, asia, china, it's anchoring growth here and policy is coming up on china is also towards some degree of small, stable growth rather than full speed ahead. so that gets everyone else a little bit more flexibility with regard to fiscal pol
talking about it, investors should be focused on making money in the economy and corporate profits are healthy enough to do that. joining us now, start with this. why can you possibly say don't worry about washington because long-term interest rates go up, stocks will not be undervalued, they will not be cheap and that could hurt the stock market. >> this is a great point you are making, but we put, believe it or not, a 5% 10-year treasury yield into our stock market model. we are assuming interest rates soar from here. and stocks are still undervalued today. we can take a lot higher long-term interest rates put my real point about this is if we go back a few years, the first fiscal cliff, the 2010 tax cuts were going to end. the first debate over the downgrade. all of those things happened, and yet the market kept going up. same with the fiscal cliff this time, and i believe people are overly concerned about a lot of the things that are happening around the world. the economy continues to grow, the stock market is really cheap, and that is what investors should focus on. if you go
stronger in the second half. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has dragged us back into prospect on that particular indices
for the global economy. then the free money on the sidelines thanks to the federal reserve and bankers globally. what sectors lead? >> check off all those boxes that you mentioned. last week we had a flow of funds for the first time in three years. back into equities. it was the largest amount in eleven years. there's trillions of dollars on the sidelines, maria. that's the fuel for my secular bull market. and leadership is definitely financials, health care, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, industrials. i just love the marvegt. >> you know, ralph, it's pisani, treasuries have had negative returns so far this year. maybe if this continues through the quarter and all of those get negative returns on their mutual fund reports for the first time in ages, they be that would be the catalyst. >> rick santelli, the time i was in the sick bed we had a wild ride for the treasuries. back to a midpoint range now. what are the markets telling you these days? >> i think i agree with jim bianco. if you look at a 20-year chart of dell, we haven't spent time over 20 since '08. we haven't spent time ab
catastrophic results for many americans and the overall economy. he warned markets would go haywire if congress does not act, interest rates would rise, and checks to social security beneficiaries would stop. and he said even thinking about the u.s. not paying its bills is irresponsible and, "absurd". darren gersh reports. >> reporter: in his first news conference of the new year the president gave a harsh lecture to republicans about the need to raise the debt ceiling and he once again said there was no way he'd negotiate with congress about something it should do anyway. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending.
at what is happening to the markets and the economy. fitch is warning of a possible u.s. downgrade the debt ceiling talks drag on. citigroup had will join us here in just moments. retail stocks rolling up better than expected holiday sales season. the dow jones industrials up 27 points on the day. the s&p managed a point gain but still reaching another five-year high. the nasdaq is down six, that is only slightly from yesterday. the commerce department reported retail sales rose a half precent in december, november sales also revised higher. apple is "the biggest loser" in the s&p 500 today, down more than 3% again. it's on yesterday's losses also reports of weak demand and apple shares closing today just under $486. apple stock with $702 is back on the 19th of september. crude oil down 86, just over $93 per barrel. gold of working for $5. going above $1683. the 10 year treasury down 1.3% in feel. margins beginning on a positive note this year. the s&p all 3% higher year-to-date. the economy showing signs of surprising strength and stability. where there was once weakness. joining
, and that has helped. it's going to be a decent year. i don't think the problem is the trajectory of the economy. i think the question is how much will these issues from washington, whether it's the debt ceiling, the sequester, the lingering uncertainty over the long-term budget picture undermine confidence, lower the valuations of u.s. companies because people just have less confidence in long-term trajectory. >> jared, president obama starts his second term next week. his inauguration, of course, monday. what has he done right in the last four years, in your view, what could he have done better or has he done wrong? >> four years ago right around this time when i was a member of the administration's economic team i was remembering just the juks of position about the great hope and expectations and just the real horror of what was going on in macro economy. gdp contracting at 9%, losing 700, 800,000 jobs per month. i think the president came in and hit very hard and broke the back of the great recession a lot sooner than people expected, certainly the financial markets were reflated much more q
coming this week. joining us now is jeff clinetopp at lpl financial. on the economy, dick hoey. jeff, it's going to start with you because i'm interested to see we could have not just a lower than expected increase in earnings this year, but maybe even a negative year since aus thegs companies and profit margin is were peaking. is it possible the s&p earnings do not grow this year? >> there's a distinct possibility earnings don't grow. our expectation is they grow a very small amount, but a lot of that is coming from share buyback these year. this quicker alone is a testament to that. this fourth quarter, supposed to be the lowest earnings dollar total for any of the quarters of last year. that's not the way it's supposed to work. fourth quarters is supposed to be the highest earnings total. but we've got that uncertainty lingering for 2012. this week, we'll hear from a lot of the fms. they have the highest earnings expectations for 2013. mortgages are doing well. but the less favorable -- >> and we know how difficult it has been to grow revenues year over year. so that's difficult and y
in the united states doesn't have a lot of influence on the economy, but the tax hike on the working men and women, 120 million people, that 2% payroll tax is a killer, and that is all consumption of some. people spend the mone money thet have it, they reach into savings. that was a mistake, it was bad policy. i took growth down in the u.s. by half a point. lori: and you are telling us the economy has all the potential to break out. how much o ahead when will this fiscal policy have? is there any way to recoup it? any offsetting factor? >> unless washington changes its behavior. which is not likely. then the answer is no. we have this gradual recovery. it looks all right over time, has good pieces to it, energy, housing, the banking sector actually may be getting better. lori: must be a mistake on our washington leaders, what if they can achieve a grand bargain, get entitlement reform and we can sustain this debt to gdp level for the time being we can get to underlining measures. >> it would be a glorious outcome. lori: are you optimistic at all it will happen? >> i would like it to happ
of the issues, regulatory issues and housing was really good today. the economy is feeling better and investors aren't feeling bad. earnings numbers pretty solid so people are voting with their dollars right now. things are positive. >> for how much longer, mike? you have to admit, a pretty good run for a while now. are we due for a pullback of some kind? >> due for a rest or a pullback, would i say, but i don't think it's anything that looks like it has to be too dangerous. in addition to all the things michael is talking about, the market's refusal to go down when everybody else is saying it's overbought, probably contributed to the fact that we have this give up move higher. chatter today that maybe the republicans won't go down to the wire and contest the debt ceiling increase. all these things have swept away a lot of nagging concerns and the next thing to worry about is people don't know exactly what the next thing to worry about s is. >> let's turn it over to you. what are you expecting throughout the rest of this earnings season. we haven't had any major blowoffs, but we're not talking
anyway. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost tre
about the u.s. economy, the turning in the house prices, europe, for example, these things will make an extraordinary amount of money even if they require more capital because banks are extremely leveraged institutions. and you only need a small amount of top line growth for them to make a lot of profits. >> if you to pick u.s. banks versus the rest of the world, what do you like for 2013? >> it bizarre thing is that last year everybody was upset about the masters of the universe and were talking up their retail and sort of consumer arms because credit losses were falling. interestingly, this year i suspect bank with more exposure to independent banking will probably do a lot better much to the chagrin of politicians i suspect. why is that? the m&a pipeline's looking all right. u.s. economy's looking slightly better. and we're still pre-basal 3. >> we'll leave it there. lex on wex, can we use that? >> yeah. >> is that all right with you? >> fine by me. >> lex on wex. >> stuart, thank you very much. we will be talking later about divestment. merger and acquisition activity this year d
could hurt the u.s. economy. >> susie: and from chipotle to dunkin' donuts, did fast food chains meet investors' appetites for big returns? we're talking food stocks. >> tom: that and more tonight on "n.b.r."! >> tom: we begin with banking. two giant financial powerhouses reported big gains in fourth quarter earnings today. j.p. morgan chase booked its third straight year of record profits. and goldman sachs reported fourth quarter earnings that were almost triple the same period a week ago. erika miller reports. >> reporter: before we get to jp morgan's profits, let's talk about the earnings of it's c.e.o., jamie dimon. the board cut his pay in half as punishment for a more than $6 billion loss at j.p. morgan's london trading desk. but dimon will still pocket a $10 million bonus. add on $1.5 million in salary, and his total compensation was $11.5 million last year. >> we don't think it's inappropriate, what the board did. butt the end of the day jamie dimon is stl doing pretty well for himself. he's not exactly living out of a refrigerator box on park avenue. >> reporter: at the same
sensitive to the economy commodity in the world. ip took out a lot of capacity. ip is a genius. this company's had an unmitigated run. capacity's constrained, prices going up, 95% of capacity. that is like -- you can put the price increase after price increase, that says the economy is much stronger than expected. this is the first commodity to raise prices big when things get better. they're raising prices consistently. very bullish. >> that is a great, great tell. still more to come this morning. get ready for an ipo hat trick, sunco energy partners, norwegian cruise lines, all making their debuts this morning. stick around to see how they open for trading. the opening bell is just a few minutes away. what are you doing? nothing. are you stealing our daughter's school supplies and taking them to work? no, i was just looking for my stapler and my... this thing. i save money by using fedex ground and buy my own supplies. that's a great idea. i'm going to go... we got clients in today. [ male announcer ] save on ground shipping at fedex office. ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] t
now our economy is growing and our businesses are creating new jobs. we are poised for a good year. if we make smart decisions and sound investments. as long as washington politics and do not get in the way of america's progress. as i sat on the campaign, one component to growing our economy is shrinking our deficit and a balanced and responsible way. for nearly two years now, i have been fighting for such a plan. one that would reduce our deficit by four trillion dollars over the next decade which would stabilize our debt and our deficit and sustain us for the next decade. that would be enough not only to stop the growth of our debt and the size of our economy and make it manageable. education and job training in science and research and all of those things that help us grow. step-by-step, we have made progress towards that goal. over the past few years and signed into law 1.4 trillion dollars in spending cuts. two weeks ago i signed into law more than $600 billion in revenue by making sure the wealthiest americans began to pay their fair share. when you add the money that we will
and the economy in general. and about the market. let's start with the news, the market had a great day today. the s&p 500 close to or at a five-year high right now. why is the market doing so well even though the economy is still kind of in a slow move? >> david, nobody can explain the day-to-day moves in the market anmatter how hard we try. the market discounts well in advance of what we mere morals are able to do for my day-to-day. other days you're not sure why. i would be hazarding a guess, i don't know why. david: a lot of people have speculated about this from the "wall street journal" and others that it is the contention in the specific intention of the federal reserve over the past year or so to pump up the market. is that true? >> certainly this is in effect have a much lower interest rates. you can do the math, historically low rates for corporations in america public or private, large or small. medium-sized. have a very small balance sheets, redoing the balance sheet, reposition their debt at much lower prices. it'd just get some clarity as you know, a little more clarity, a lot m
for our economy. so important for our public safety. so important for emergency response as we witnessed here in the northeast of the country. and so, while the fight was long and at times, unnecessary, at least the vote was taken today and we move forward. mr. garamendi: thank you, mr. tonko. the bill now is out of this house. it's already in the senate. we expect the senate to pass it probably tomorrow or the next day. certainly before the inaugural on monday and then the president will sign it shortly thereafter. bringing that kind of relief. you mentioned the jobs issue and people need to go to work. when we have these natural disasters and we come forward with the kind of support that we have seen today and will soon be available for new jersey, new york, connecticut and the surrounding areas, people go back to work. those people that have received immediate fema support for housing, for clothing, for food, that money is immediately spent into the economy. on the infrastructure side, it's crucial when the subways of lower manhattan flooded, the world's financial institution took a w
these states have the same epiphany or the same realization that there's only way to get the local economies going and that would be to change their taxes? >> well, i would tell you, charles, we have all looked at the economy that we're competing in, which is worldwide, and we know we need to be more tax competitive. i want to create more jobs in this state, our state, for citizens and higher paying jobs and the way to do that is to have lower income tax rates and corporate rates and in our particular case, i'm proposing the complete elimination of the income tax and the corporate tax rate. we do that by repealing some of the sales tax exemptions that we've granted over the years, we need a modern, simpler and fairer tax code. charles: i'm going to get to the fair issue in a moment, governor. but the basic premise that somehow this will spark the economy, obviously everyone doesn't believe that or that would be the program now. why would someone in your state who is worried about this, how do you convince him that this will indeed help the overall economy? >> well, i'm going to talk to him a
of the economy. a discussion about the fed earlier in terms of the beige book numbers. what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away fr
now that the global economies are recovering. if you heard schlumberger and ge today, both companies on their conference calls, talked about china being probably the best area for activity 2013. and i think that's very exciting, and that's the reason -- one of the main reasons why you want to be buying this market if you do get a little bit more volatility over the next week. in addition, i think the u.s. continues to do pretty well, too. so i like the market, and on volatility we're buying it. >> so, we've got an economic story that seems to be better from the macro point of view, dean. and by the way, i should point out this market rocketed at the end of the day, settled up 53 points on the dow jones industrial average. what does the macro story look like you to right now? >> the macro story is considerably better than it's been over the past couple of years, pes legs with the european contagion story. not done but off the table for now. obviously things like the debt ceiling and the dysfunction in washington are reasons for concern, but i think one of the factors that's underpinni
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